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Monday, July 7, 2008

July 6, 2008 — If You Meet a “Terrorism Expert”…….
    

    There’s saying in Buddhism that goes “If you meet a Buddha on the road, kill him”—In other words, do not over-idealize an enlightened being or religious figure. On the other hand, if you meet a “terrorism expert,” please don’t kill him or her. We need all the help we can get. But you might run the other way. Or, at least, listen to him or her very critically.

    Why do I say this?

    Contemporary terrorism is an exceeding complex, multi-dimensional, multi-determined phenomenon. No one person can be an “expert” in all that is involved now. Perhaps in the 60’s and 70’s when most terrorist groups (in the West at least) were politically oriented, local, tightly and hierarchically organized, relatively compact, and possessing primarily small arms — like the Baader-Meinhof Gang and the Red Army Faction in Germany, the Red Brigades in Italy, and perhaps the Weather Underground in the USA and IRA in Ireland — a person could really be a “terrorism expert.”  Twenty-first century, religiously motivated, global, internet driven terrorism seeking WMD’s is another matter. For example: now we need experts in physics, biology, and public health who are also knowledgeable about international relations to help us assess the chances of nuclear or biological attack and how to prevent it. As well as how to screen cargo arriving in our ports. But such experts will not help us figure out how to deal with al-Qaeda in Waziristan and the tribal areas of Pakistan. Experts on strategy and tactics, with on the ground experience in the Middle East, can advise us on military planning. But they will not be much help to local police figuring out the role of community policing in counter-terrorism. And, if counter-terrorism now really is a “war of ideas” (as President Bush said in a speech right after 9/11), then we also need those who understand our opponents’ ideas and how to counter them effectively.

    My advice is this: Today, beware of the person who claims a generalized “terrorism” expertise. Beware of the person who claims that he or she has discovered the one key that will unlock our knowledge of contemporary terrorism.  Pay attention to the person who is knowledgeable but also humble about the limits of what he or she knows and who is willing to listen to others as well.

    In addition to experts in the fields most directly related to contemporary terrorism, counter-terrorism planning  should also include input from smart people whoever they are — physicians, English teachers, amateur historians, etc and etc. I don’t like the cliché “thinking outside the box.” What box? But we need people who can see an issue from many different perspectives and can point out what is being ignored and overlooked. I read somewhere that wartime Britain’s strategic planning included people from a wide range of fields who were able to think with flexibility and imagination. Thus Britain remained relatively responsive to changing circumstances and more supple than if all her policies were dictated by top-down layers of narrow or ideologically driven “expertise.”

     If that’s true, there is a lesson here.

4:35 pm edt 


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May 30, 2008 - "Understanding" Religious Terrorism
James W. Jones, Psy.D., Ph.D., Th.D.

How much do we really know about terrorism? The short answer is "a lot" and "a very little."  "Terrorism" - as the cliché about one person’s terrorist being another’s freedom fighter suggests - is more often used as an epithet or a bit of propaganda than a category useful for understanding. There is general agreement that terrorism is not an end in itself or a motivation in itself (except perhaps for a few genuinely psychotic individual lone wolves). No movement is only a terrorist movement; its primary character is more likely political, economic, or religious. Terrorism is a tactic, not a basic type of group.
   
The first step in clarifying this topic of "understanding terrorism" is to become clear about the purpose of our attempts to understand terrorism. Part of the confusion over the understanding of terrorism results from the more basic confusion of not knowing what we want our explanations of terrorism to do for us. Before we undertake to "explain" terrorism, we should be clear as to what we want this "explanation" to accomplish? Many hope that understanding terrorism will help predict future terrorist actions. Others hope that it will help devise effective counter-terrorism strategies. Will a psychological, or political, or military, or religious understanding of religious terrorism aid in those goals?

I know from my work in forensic psychology that predicting violent behavior in any specific case is very, very complicated and very rarely successful. And dramatic acts of violence that change the course of history - the assassination of the Archduke Ferdinand that lit the match on the conflagration of World War I, the taking hostage of the American Embassy in the Iranian revolution, the 9/11 attack - are rarely predictable. We can list some of the characteristics of religious groups that turn to violence and terror. I have studied some of the themes common to Muslim, Christian, and Buddhist groups that have turned to terror. We can also outline the steps that individuals and groups often go through in becoming committed to violent actions. The NYPD has done exactly that in a recent study. But I remain skeptical that any model will enable us to predict with any certainty when specific individuals or groups may turn to terrorism. There are warning signs we should be aware of. But these are signs, not determinants or predictors.

As for counter-terrorism, it is an important strategic principal that one should know one's enemy. We succeeded in containing the expansiveness of the former Soviet Union in part because we had a detailed and nuanced understanding of the Soviet system. Understanding some of what is at stake religiously and spiritually for religious groups that engage in terrorism can help devise ways of countering them. So a religious-psychological understanding of religious terrorists' motivations can be an important part of the response to them.

In the months following 9/11 I often heard demagogues on the radio say that psychologists (like me) who seek to understand the psychology behind religiously motivated violence simply want to "offer the terrorists therapy." The idea that one must choose either understanding or action - that one cannot do both - is an idea that itself borders on the pathological and represents the kind of dichotomizing that is itself a part of the terrorist mindset. Such dichotomized thinking, wherever it occurs, is a part of the problem and not part of the solution. I worked for two years in the psychology department at a hardcore, maximum security prison. But I never thought of that as a substitute for just and vigorous law enforcement. Understanding an action in no way means excusing it; explaining an action in no way means condoning it.
   
There is, however, a deeper issue here. Understanding others (even those who will your destruction) can make them more human. It can break down the demonization of the other that some politicians and policy makers feel is necessary in order to combat terrorists. The demonization of the other is a major weapon in the arsenal of the religiously motivated terrorist. Must we resort to the same tactic - which is so costly psychologically and spiritually – in order to oppose terrorism? Or can we counter religiously motivated terrorists without becoming like them?